Monday, September 8, 2008

Revealed Prefereces


I was listening to the radio recently and heard a story about how Wal-mart made lots of contributions to Republican candidates and the Republican party. The story included the opinion that Wal-mart should instead be funding the Democrats because many of their workers rely on publicly funded health care. If more Democrats were elected, Wal-mart would be able to continue not giving its workers health care making it cheaper to hire them. Wal-mart (in all of its evil) must be acting irrationally.

Or is it...

Wal-mart can pay its workers less if it gives them health care. But if the health care it gives them is not worth the reduction in wages then the workers are going to be mad and go work somewhere else. So, if workers and Wal-mart have come to the decision to work together, the people who work at Wal-mart must be happier with the slightly higher wages and no health care than the lower wages and health care.

Wal-mart knows that it will likely to have to pay more in corporate taxes if a national health care system is created. The taxes it pays will be more than what it has to reduce wages by because it knows that its employees won't be willing to work for less. For example, Wal-mart would have to pay $1 million in taxes but since its employees have health care that it doesn't have to provide for them, people will be willing to work for less. The savings in wages would not add up to be $1 million meaning that the employees of Wal-mart do not in fact value the health care they will be getting at $1 million.

How do I know that the employees of Wal-mart do not value the health care more than the wages they would lose to get it? I know thanks to Wake-Up-Walmart.com. The site claims:

"Since the average full-time Wal-Mart employee earned $17,114 in 2005, he or she would have to spend between 7 and 25 percent of his or her income just to cover the premiums and medical deductibles, if electing for single coverage. [Wal-Mart 2006 Associate Guide and UFCW analysis.]."

The people who work for Wal-mart are so poor that they can not afford the health care. They would prefer to take the risk and keep the money. Clearly, that is an unfortunate decision for those people, but forcing Wal-mart to create a health care system does not improve their situation.

A law would only make both Wal-mart and its employees worse off. Whereas, passing laws that allow for Wal-mart to make its employees as producitve as possible actually would increase their wages allowing them to purchase health care when they thought it was better than the alternative.

Thursday, September 4, 2008

A Pessimistic Forecast


I'm pretty much tired of politics.

Both parties claim that they're going to make things better for everyone. This is absolutely false. Why? Because there is no such thing as a free lunch.

Essentially, any government policy will have some costs and some benefits. Which means some people will be made better off at the expense of others. No government policy is going to be good for everyone.

If they were really honest with us, they'd be saying, "I promise the 51% of you who vote for me more stuff than I take from you." Look at the tax polices. Hidden in all of the claims and promises will be a different distribution of wealth than we have today. Both candidate are hoping you feel like it redistributes the pie in your favor.

We can only hope that some of the policies a president enacts are at least better for the people they help than they are bad for the people they hurt. Sounds easy enough, but in practice, it's very hard. If you try to give stuff to people they change their behavior so you have to give them more. If you try to take stuff from people then they make sure that they have less to take or spend valuable resources just making sure you can't get it.

Universal health care is great example. It has the capability to help some at the expense of a lot of people. Universal health insurance is not free because we give up all the good things that the market does for innovation in health care. Having universal health care sucks. Not having universal health care sucks.

No president is going to change that. They're just going to change who it sucks worse for.

I hate to burst your bubble on how great the next 4 years are going to be, but it ain't gonna be what you're hoping for. Improvements in just about everything worth having don't get made by governments, especially presidents.